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Jaipur Wealth Management:Fact based stock researchOil India (NSEI:OIL)

Admin88 2024-11-08 25 0

Fact based stock researchOil India (NSEI:OIL)

INE274J01014

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Oil India (Oil & Gas Production, India) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks.

Shares of Oil India are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 97) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 61, which means below-average debt burdens).

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: A Combined Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on Oil India's financial characteristics.

Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Oil India exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 13), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 97). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 61) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value).

Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors.

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: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% compared with alternatives), Oil India shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks.

The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Oil India. Price-to-Sales is 11 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 89% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Oil India's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 34, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Oil India. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 37 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 56% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives.

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: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation based on Oil India's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields.

How can market participants pay such a high price for Oil India? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Oil India? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten aliveJaipur Wealth Management. Oil India may be such a type of stockGuoabong Stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment.

We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive.

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: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Oil India shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum.

The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Oil India. Sales Growth has a rank of 94 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 94% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 89, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 97, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 7, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 93% of its competitors.

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: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors.

That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications.

While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case.

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: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), the company Oil India has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Oil India is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct.

The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Oil IndiaBangalore Stock Exchange. Leverage is at a rank of 56, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 56% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 74, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 74% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 21, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors.

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: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Oil India has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors.

The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Oil India. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again.

Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Oil India and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision.

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